• Kariba usable storage36.68%−1.13 pts / 7d
  • Lake level480.65 m
  • Victoria Falls flow328 m³/s
  • Chavuma flow101 m³/s
  • PSI (hydrology channel)0.43LOW confidence
  • ZMW/USD20.0023
  • LME copper$14,613/t
  • Rails current6/8
  • Next source ingestdaily at 06:00 UTC

Public hydrology monitor

Zambia Power Stress Index

A present-state reading of stress in Zambia's Kariba hydrology channel.

Kariba hydrology drives PSI; load-shedding evidence and macro pressure are shown as separate context, not PSI forecasts.

Kariba usable storageObservedZambezi River Authority
36.68%
Lake level 480.65 mReading of 14 Oct 2026 ·
7-day change
−1.13 pts
30-day change
−4.51 pts
Record since
01 Apr 2022

Highest 14 October reading in this public record (2023–2026).

Usable storage on 14 October, each year in the record
  • 202636.7%
  • 202512.8%
  • 20245.6%
  • 202320.4%
System health alertHydrology within contractLabel evidence pendingModel inference experimental

Physical state

Kariba reservoir, year on year

  • 2026
  • 2025
  • 2024
  • 2023
  • 2022

Each line is one calendar year of ZRA usable-storage readings; 2026 is highlighted. Days without a published reading are left blank, not interpolated.

View Kariba storage as a table (first of each month)
Month20222023202420252026
Jan——12.04%1.93%5.22%
Feb——16.42%6.04%11.41%
Mar——15.50%9.53%13.52%
Apr23.10%21.00%13.73%9.18%26.22%
May28.54%24.55%13.38%14.30%37.13%
Jun32.92%28.76%12.82%19.95%45.84%
Jul32.92%31.30%12.32%24.05%48.17%
Aug—29.27%10.42%23.25%46.69%
Sep23.61%26.22%8.36%19.45%42.85%
Oct—22.01%6.72%14.72%38.71%
Nov9.32%17.90%4.46%9.26%—
Dec3.44%13.52%3.44%——

Hydrology channel

Published PSI history

  • PSI by inference date
  • Dashed: computed after inference date
  • Reachable range (psi_v4_20260329)

310 published estimates by inference date; 140 computed on a later calendar day; 652 calendar days without an estimate (left blank). Historical backfills and delayed runs are dashed; they were not available on their inference dates. Receipt times are shown below. Model markers identify changes in this estimate series, not deployment dates. Band washes are display vocabulary, not calibrated probabilities.

View published PSI rows as a table
Inference datePSIComputed at (UTC)Published at (UTC)Data throughModel
2026-10-180.4262026-10-18T08:11:59.235871+00:002026-10-18T08:11:59.235871+00:002026-10-14psi_v4_20260329
2026-10-170.4262026-10-17T08:11:19.750993+00:002026-10-17T08:11:19.750993+00:002026-10-14psi_v4_20260329
2026-10-160.4262026-10-16T08:12:58.202594+00:002026-10-16T08:12:58.202594+00:002026-10-14psi_v4_20260329
2026-10-150.4262026-10-15T08:13:46.497436+00:002026-10-15T08:13:46.497436+00:002026-10-14psi_v4_20260329
2026-10-140.4262026-10-15T08:13:46.497436+00:002026-10-15T08:13:46.497436+00:002026-10-14psi_v4_20260329
2026-10-130.4262026-10-15T08:13:46.497436+00:002026-10-15T08:13:46.497436+00:002026-10-13psi_v4_20260329
2026-10-120.4262026-10-12T08:27:46.136312+00:002026-10-12T08:27:46.136312+00:002026-10-05psi_v4_20260329
2026-10-110.4262026-10-11T08:13:24.529261+00:002026-10-11T08:13:24.529261+00:002026-10-05psi_v4_20260329
2026-10-100.4262026-10-10T08:12:46.579042+00:002026-10-10T08:12:46.579042+00:002026-10-05psi_v4_20260329
2026-10-090.4262026-10-09T08:15:41.514784+00:002026-10-09T08:15:41.514784+00:002026-10-05psi_v4_20260329
2026-10-080.4262026-10-08T08:15:55.66025+00:002026-10-08T08:15:55.66025+00:002026-10-05psi_v4_20260329
2026-10-070.4262026-10-07T08:15:29.149382+00:002026-10-07T08:15:29.149382+00:002026-10-05psi_v4_20260329
2026-10-060.4262026-10-06T08:14:14.748891+00:002026-10-06T08:14:14.748891+00:002026-10-05psi_v4_20260329
2026-10-050.4262026-10-05T08:22:31.113396+00:002026-10-05T08:22:31.113396+00:002026-09-28psi_v4_20260329
2026-10-040.4262026-10-04T10:09:58.471709+00:002026-10-04T10:09:58.471709+00:002026-09-28psi_v4_20260329
2026-10-030.4262026-10-03T08:12:55.292425+00:002026-10-03T08:12:55.292425+00:002026-09-28psi_v4_20260329
2026-10-020.4262026-10-02T08:13:55.533484+00:002026-10-02T08:13:55.533484+00:002026-09-28psi_v4_20260329
2026-10-010.4262026-10-01T08:16:35.091762+00:002026-10-01T08:16:35.091762+00:002026-09-28psi_v4_20260329
2026-09-300.4262026-09-30T08:14:25.026481+00:002026-09-30T08:14:25.026481+00:002026-09-28psi_v4_20260329
2026-09-290.4262026-09-29T08:14:46.020166+00:002026-09-29T08:14:46.020166+00:002026-09-28psi_v4_20260329
2026-09-280.4262026-09-28T08:21:03.489126+00:002026-09-28T08:21:03.489126+00:002026-09-22psi_v4_20260329
2026-09-270.4262026-09-27T08:12:57.245887+00:002026-09-27T08:12:57.245887+00:002026-09-22psi_v4_20260329
2026-09-260.4262026-09-26T16:07:33.667544+00:002026-09-26T16:07:33.667544+00:002026-09-22psi_v4_20260329
2026-09-250.4262026-09-26T16:07:33.667544+00:002026-09-26T16:07:33.667544+00:002026-09-22psi_v4_20260329
2026-09-240.4262026-09-26T16:07:33.667544+00:002026-09-26T16:07:33.667544+00:002026-09-22psi_v4_20260329
2026-09-230.4262026-09-23T08:13:45.713685+00:002026-09-23T08:13:45.713685+00:002026-09-16psi_v4_20260329
2026-09-220.4262026-09-22T08:13:40.838415+00:002026-09-22T08:13:40.838415+00:002026-09-16psi_v4_20260329
2026-09-210.4262026-09-21T08:15:10.015142+00:002026-09-21T08:15:10.015142+00:002026-09-16psi_v4_20260329
2026-09-200.4262026-09-20T08:12:36.489854+00:002026-09-20T08:12:36.489854+00:002026-09-16psi_v4_20260329
2026-09-190.4262026-09-19T08:12:13.074104+00:002026-09-19T08:12:13.074104+00:002026-09-16psi_v4_20260329
2026-09-180.4262026-09-18T08:13:16.549285+00:002026-09-18T08:13:16.549285+00:002026-09-16psi_v4_20260329
2026-09-170.4262026-09-17T08:14:23.086208+00:002026-09-17T08:14:23.086208+00:002026-09-16psi_v4_20260329
2026-09-160.4262026-09-17T08:14:23.086208+00:002026-09-17T08:14:23.086208+00:002026-09-16psi_v4_20260329
2026-09-150.4262026-09-17T08:14:23.086208+00:002026-09-17T08:14:23.086208+00:002026-09-15psi_v4_20260329
2026-09-140.4262026-09-14T08:14:59.541007+00:002026-09-14T08:14:59.541007+00:002026-09-07psi_v4_20260329
2026-09-130.4262026-09-13T08:12:07.725649+00:002026-09-13T08:12:07.725649+00:002026-09-07psi_v4_20260329
2026-09-120.4262026-09-12T08:11:48.353662+00:002026-09-12T08:11:48.353662+00:002026-09-07psi_v4_20260329
2026-09-110.4262026-09-11T08:13:29.490878+00:002026-09-11T08:13:29.490878+00:002026-09-07psi_v4_20260329
2026-09-100.4262026-09-10T08:13:34.132356+00:002026-09-10T08:13:34.132356+00:002026-09-07psi_v4_20260329
2026-09-090.4262026-09-09T08:13:45.82289+00:002026-09-09T08:13:45.82289+00:002026-09-07psi_v4_20260329
2026-09-080.4262026-09-08T08:14:04.138316+00:002026-09-08T08:14:04.138316+00:002026-09-07psi_v4_20260329
2026-09-070.4262026-09-07T08:15:13.6936+00:002026-09-07T08:15:13.6936+00:002026-08-31psi_v4_20260329
2026-09-060.4262026-09-06T08:12:02.844635+00:002026-09-06T08:12:02.844635+00:002026-08-31psi_v4_20260329
2026-09-050.4262026-09-05T08:11:49.586643+00:002026-09-05T08:11:49.586643+00:002026-08-31psi_v4_20260329
2026-09-040.4262026-09-04T08:13:26.97735+00:002026-09-04T08:13:26.97735+00:002026-08-31psi_v4_20260329
2026-09-030.4262026-09-03T08:13:55.6371+00:002026-09-03T08:13:55.6371+00:002026-08-31psi_v4_20260329
2026-09-020.4262026-09-02T08:13:56.27703+00:002026-09-02T08:13:56.27703+00:002026-08-31psi_v4_20260329
2026-09-010.4262026-09-01T08:14:43.67155+00:002026-09-01T08:14:43.67155+00:002026-08-31psi_v4_20260329
2026-08-310.4262026-08-31T08:15:22.370094+00:002026-08-31T08:15:22.370094+00:002026-08-24psi_v4_20260329
2026-08-300.4262026-08-30T08:11:53.193196+00:002026-08-30T08:11:53.193196+00:002026-08-24psi_v4_20260329
2026-08-290.4262026-08-29T08:11:41.463092+00:002026-08-29T08:11:41.463092+00:002026-08-24psi_v4_20260329
2026-08-280.4262026-08-28T11:51:48.949567+00:002026-08-28T11:51:48.949567+00:002026-08-24psi_v4_20260329
2026-08-270.4262026-08-27T11:28:28.146832+00:002026-08-27T11:28:28.146832+00:002026-08-24psi_v4_20260329
2026-08-260.4262026-08-26T08:15:58.77597+00:002026-08-26T08:15:58.77597+00:002026-08-24psi_v4_20260329
2026-08-250.4262026-08-25T08:16:07.525692+00:002026-08-25T08:16:07.525692+00:002026-08-24psi_v4_20260329
2026-08-240.4262026-08-24T08:17:15.773385+00:002026-08-24T08:17:15.773385+00:002026-08-17psi_v4_20260329
2026-08-230.4262026-08-23T08:07:31.367579+00:002026-08-23T08:07:31.367579+00:002026-08-17psi_v4_20260329
2026-08-220.4262026-08-22T08:07:44.673179+00:002026-08-22T08:07:44.673179+00:002026-08-17psi_v4_20260329
2026-08-210.4262026-08-21T08:14:28.777108+00:002026-08-21T08:14:28.777108+00:002026-08-17psi_v4_20260329
2026-08-200.4262026-08-20T08:13:36.42289+00:002026-08-20T08:13:36.42289+00:002026-08-17psi_v4_20260329
2026-08-190.4262026-08-19T08:12:00.530363+00:002026-08-19T08:12:00.530363+00:002026-08-17psi_v4_20260329
2026-08-180.4262026-08-18T08:11:20.962413+00:002026-08-18T08:11:20.962413+00:002026-08-17psi_v4_20260329
2026-08-170.4262026-08-17T08:15:24.391224+00:002026-08-17T08:15:24.391224+00:002026-08-10psi_v4_20260329
2026-08-160.4262026-08-16T08:07:59.09696+00:002026-08-16T08:07:59.09696+00:002026-08-10psi_v4_20260329
2026-08-150.4262026-08-15T08:06:43.006467+00:002026-08-15T08:06:43.006467+00:002026-08-10psi_v4_20260329
2026-08-140.4262026-08-14T08:30:03.847807+00:002026-08-14T08:30:03.847807+00:002026-08-10psi_v4_20260329
2026-08-130.4262026-08-13T08:32:40.510439+00:002026-08-13T08:32:40.510439+00:002026-08-10psi_v4_20260329
2026-08-120.4262026-08-13T08:32:40.510439+00:002026-08-13T08:32:40.510439+00:002026-08-10psi_v4_20260329
2026-08-110.4262026-08-11T08:22:36.567873+00:002026-08-11T08:22:36.567873+00:002026-08-04psi_v4_20260329
2026-08-100.4262026-08-10T08:34:42.429128+00:002026-08-10T08:34:42.429128+00:002026-08-04psi_v4_20260329
2026-08-090.4262026-08-09T08:15:45.870733+00:002026-08-09T08:15:45.870733+00:002026-08-04psi_v4_20260329
2026-08-080.4262026-08-08T08:14:39.952498+00:002026-08-08T08:14:39.952498+00:002026-08-04psi_v4_20260329
2026-08-070.4262026-08-07T08:25:50.79584+00:002026-08-07T08:25:50.79584+00:002026-08-04psi_v4_20260329
2026-08-060.4262026-08-06T08:58:34.553258+00:002026-08-06T08:58:34.553258+00:002026-08-04psi_v4_20260329
2026-08-050.4262026-08-05T21:17:05.028343+00:002026-08-05T21:17:05.028343+00:002026-08-04psi_v4_20260329
2026-08-040.4262026-08-04T08:59:27.270716+00:002026-08-04T08:59:27.270716+00:002026-07-28psi_v4_20260329
2026-08-030.4262026-08-03T09:08:50.631025+00:002026-08-03T09:08:50.631025+00:002026-07-28psi_v4_20260329
2026-08-020.4262026-08-02T08:49:41.993312+00:002026-08-02T08:49:41.993312+00:002026-07-28psi_v4_20260329
2026-08-010.4262026-08-01T08:48:25.184473+00:002026-08-01T08:48:25.184473+00:002026-07-28psi_v4_20260329
2026-07-310.4262026-07-31T09:03:18.675511+00:002026-07-31T09:03:18.675511+00:002026-07-28psi_v4_20260329
2026-07-300.4262026-07-30T08:57:08.781272+00:002026-07-30T08:57:08.781272+00:002026-07-28psi_v4_20260329
2026-07-290.4262026-07-29T08:59:58.396497+00:002026-07-29T08:59:58.396497+00:002026-07-28psi_v4_20260329
2026-07-280.4262026-07-29T08:59:58.396497+00:002026-07-29T08:59:58.396497+00:002026-07-28psi_v4_20260329
2026-07-270.4262026-07-27T09:09:19.048174+00:002026-07-27T09:09:19.048174+00:002026-07-20psi_v4_20260329
2026-07-260.4262026-07-26T08:50:38.849043+00:002026-07-26T08:50:38.849043+00:002026-07-20psi_v4_20260329
2026-07-250.4262026-07-25T10:57:57.607134+00:002026-07-25T10:57:57.607134+00:002026-07-20psi_v4_20260329
2026-07-240.4262026-07-24T08:53:44.484003+00:002026-07-24T08:53:44.484003+00:002026-07-20psi_v4_20260329
2026-07-230.4262026-07-23T08:55:17.633478+00:002026-07-23T08:55:17.633478+00:002026-07-20psi_v4_20260329
2026-07-220.4262026-07-22T08:54:50.172491+00:002026-07-22T08:54:50.172491+00:002026-07-20psi_v4_20260329
2026-07-210.4262026-07-21T08:55:54.928969+00:002026-07-21T08:55:54.928969+00:002026-07-20psi_v4_20260329
2026-07-200.3932026-07-20T09:05:37.285537+00:002026-07-20T09:05:37.285537+00:002026-07-13psi_v4_20260329
2026-07-190.3932026-07-19T08:49:40.893455+00:002026-07-19T08:49:40.893455+00:002026-07-13psi_v4_20260329
2026-07-180.3932026-07-18T08:36:16.799186+00:002026-07-18T08:36:16.799186+00:002026-07-13psi_v4_20260329
2026-07-170.3932026-07-17T08:46:11.473532+00:002026-07-17T08:46:11.473532+00:002026-07-13psi_v4_20260329
2026-07-160.3932026-07-16T01:34:21.098906+00:002026-07-16T01:34:21.098906+00:002026-07-13psi_v4_20260329
2026-07-150.3932026-07-15T08:49:14.550863+00:002026-07-15T08:49:14.550863+00:002026-07-13psi_v4_20260329
2026-07-140.3932026-07-14T08:46:13.643082+00:002026-07-14T08:46:13.643082+00:002026-07-13psi_v4_20260329
2026-07-130.3932026-07-16T01:34:21.098906+00:002026-07-16T01:34:21.098906+00:002026-07-13psi_v4_20260329
2026-07-120.3822026-07-16T01:34:21.098906+00:002026-07-16T01:34:21.098906+00:002026-07-12psi_v4_20260329
2026-07-110.3932026-07-16T01:34:21.098906+00:002026-07-16T01:34:21.098906+00:002026-07-11psi_v4_20260329
2026-07-100.3822026-07-16T01:34:21.098906+00:002026-07-16T01:34:21.098906+00:002026-07-10psi_v4_20260329
2026-07-090.3822026-07-16T01:34:21.098906+00:002026-07-16T01:34:21.098906+00:002026-07-09psi_v4_20260329
2026-07-080.3822026-07-16T01:34:21.098906+00:002026-07-16T01:34:21.098906+00:002026-07-08psi_v4_20260329
2026-06-280.3822026-06-28T09:05:53.777637+00:002026-06-28T09:05:53.777637+00:002026-06-22psi_v4_20260329
2026-06-270.3822026-06-27T08:58:07.315679+00:002026-06-27T08:58:07.315679+00:002026-06-22psi_v4_20260329
2026-06-260.3822026-06-26T09:09:03.790322+00:002026-06-26T09:09:03.790322+00:002026-06-22psi_v4_20260329
2026-06-250.3822026-06-25T09:09:00.75957+00:002026-06-25T09:09:00.75957+00:002026-06-22psi_v4_20260329
2026-06-240.3822026-06-24T09:09:16.006589+00:002026-06-24T09:09:16.006589+00:002026-06-22psi_v4_20260329
2026-06-230.3822026-06-23T03:55:19.630035+00:002026-06-23T03:55:19.630035+00:002026-06-22psi_v4_20260329
2026-06-220.3822026-06-22T10:04:23.046162+00:002026-06-22T10:04:23.046162+00:002026-06-22psi_v4_20260329
2026-06-210.3822026-06-21T09:18:27.122898+00:002026-06-21T09:18:27.122898+00:002026-06-15psi_v4_20260329
2026-06-200.3822026-06-20T09:06:35.846495+00:002026-06-20T09:06:35.846495+00:002026-06-15psi_v4_20260329
2026-06-190.3822026-06-19T09:38:56.367766+00:002026-06-19T09:38:56.367766+00:002026-06-15psi_v4_20260329
2026-06-180.3822026-06-18T09:33:29.149096+00:002026-06-18T09:33:29.149096+00:002026-06-15psi_v4_20260329
2026-06-170.3822026-06-17T09:41:23.670998+00:002026-06-17T09:41:23.670998+00:002026-06-15psi_v4_20260329
2026-06-160.3822026-06-16T09:50:42.795661+00:002026-06-16T09:50:42.795661+00:002026-06-15psi_v4_20260329
2026-06-150.3602026-06-15T10:10:53.388598+00:002026-06-15T10:10:53.388598+00:002026-06-09psi_v4_20260329
2026-06-140.3602026-06-14T09:08:48.549878+00:002026-06-14T09:08:48.549878+00:002026-06-09psi_v4_20260329
2026-06-130.3602026-06-13T09:07:03.485006+00:002026-06-13T09:07:03.485006+00:002026-06-09psi_v4_20260329
2026-06-120.3602026-06-12T09:27:36.222101+00:002026-06-12T09:27:36.222101+00:002026-06-09psi_v4_20260329
2026-06-110.3602026-06-11T09:32:22.270869+00:002026-06-11T09:32:22.270869+00:002026-06-09psi_v4_20260329
2026-06-100.3602026-06-10T09:16:54.049728+00:002026-06-10T09:16:54.049728+00:002026-06-09psi_v4_20260329
2026-06-090.3602026-06-09T09:11:40.794099+00:002026-06-09T09:11:40.794099+00:002026-06-09psi_v4_20260329
2026-06-080.3822026-07-16T01:34:21.098906+00:002026-07-16T01:34:21.098906+00:002026-06-08psi_v4_20260329
2026-06-070.3602026-06-07T09:06:01.923283+00:002026-06-07T09:06:01.923283+00:002026-05-31psi_v4_20260329
2026-06-060.3602026-06-06T08:56:05.11845+00:002026-06-06T08:56:05.11845+00:002026-05-31psi_v4_20260329
2026-06-050.3602026-06-05T09:11:42.617876+00:002026-06-05T09:11:42.617876+00:002026-05-31psi_v4_20260329
2026-06-040.3602026-06-04T09:22:10.842163+00:002026-06-04T09:22:10.842163+00:002026-05-31psi_v4_20260329
2026-06-030.3602026-06-03T09:39:45.235453+00:002026-06-03T09:39:45.235453+00:002026-05-31psi_v4_20260329
2026-06-020.3602026-06-02T09:29:59.017008+00:002026-06-02T09:29:59.017008+00:002026-05-31psi_v4_20260329
2026-06-010.3602026-06-01T09:53:01.323227+00:002026-06-01T09:53:01.323227+00:002026-05-31psi_v4_20260329
2026-05-310.3602026-05-31T09:05:47.751857+00:002026-05-31T09:05:47.751857+00:002026-05-26psi_v4_20260329
2026-05-300.3602026-05-30T08:51:04.111488+00:002026-05-30T08:51:04.111488+00:002026-05-26psi_v4_20260329
2026-05-290.3602026-05-29T09:13:07.961999+00:002026-05-29T09:13:07.961999+00:002026-05-26psi_v4_20260329
2026-05-280.3602026-05-28T09:17:56.758832+00:002026-05-28T09:17:56.758832+00:002026-05-26psi_v4_20260329
2026-05-270.3602026-05-27T06:09:16.818747+00:002026-05-27T06:09:16.818747+00:002026-05-26psi_v4_20260329
2026-05-260.3602026-05-27T06:12:58.274841+00:002026-05-27T06:12:58.274841+00:002026-05-26psi_v4_20260329
2026-05-250.3602026-05-25T09:23:47.03158+00:002026-05-25T09:23:47.03158+00:002026-05-18psi_v4_20260329
2026-05-240.3602026-05-24T08:54:14.331611+00:002026-05-24T08:54:14.331611+00:002026-05-18psi_v4_20260329
2026-05-230.3602026-05-23T08:44:30.784635+00:002026-05-23T08:44:30.784635+00:002026-05-18psi_v4_20260329
2026-05-220.3602026-05-22T09:09:09.262322+00:002026-05-22T09:09:09.262322+00:002026-05-18psi_v4_20260329
2026-05-210.3602026-05-21T09:11:07.975588+00:002026-05-21T09:11:07.975588+00:002026-05-18psi_v4_20260329
2026-05-200.3602026-05-20T15:13:33.803866+00:002026-05-20T15:13:33.803866+00:002026-05-18psi_v4_20260329
2026-05-190.3602026-05-20T15:13:33.803866+00:002026-05-20T15:13:33.803866+00:002026-05-18psi_v4_20260329
2026-05-180.6522026-05-18T09:14:55.501198+00:002026-05-18T09:14:55.501198+00:002026-05-18psi_v4_20260329
2026-05-170.3602026-05-17T08:46:09.432811+00:002026-05-17T08:46:09.432811+00:002026-05-11psi_v4_20260329
2026-05-160.3602026-05-16T08:37:58.69163+00:002026-05-16T08:37:58.69163+00:002026-05-11psi_v4_20260329
2026-05-150.3602026-05-15T09:06:54.918155+00:002026-05-15T09:06:54.918155+00:002026-05-11psi_v4_20260329
2026-05-140.3602026-05-14T08:59:01.280762+00:002026-05-14T08:59:01.280762+00:002026-05-11psi_v4_20260329
2026-05-130.3602026-05-13T09:04:08.381436+00:002026-05-13T09:04:08.381436+00:002026-05-11psi_v4_20260329
2026-05-120.3602026-05-12T09:00:30.767927+00:002026-05-12T09:00:30.767927+00:002026-05-11psi_v4_20260329
2026-05-110.3602026-05-27T06:12:58.274841+00:002026-05-27T06:12:58.274841+00:002026-05-11psi_v4_20260329
2026-05-100.3602026-05-27T06:12:58.274841+00:002026-05-27T06:12:58.274841+00:002026-05-10psi_v4_20260329
2026-05-090.3602026-05-27T06:12:58.274841+00:002026-05-27T06:12:58.274841+00:002026-05-09psi_v4_20260329
2026-05-080.3602026-05-27T06:12:58.274841+00:002026-05-27T06:12:58.274841+00:002026-05-08psi_v4_20260329
2026-05-040.3602026-05-04T08:53:12.808784+00:002026-05-04T08:53:12.808784+00:002026-04-27psi_v4_20260329
2026-05-030.3602026-05-03T08:37:28.645156+00:002026-05-03T08:37:28.645156+00:002026-04-27psi_v4_20260329
2026-05-020.3602026-05-02T08:33:56.896492+00:002026-05-02T08:33:56.896492+00:002026-04-27psi_v4_20260329
2026-05-010.3602026-05-01T08:42:42.773137+00:002026-05-01T08:42:42.773137+00:002026-04-27psi_v4_20260329
2026-04-300.3602026-04-30T08:49:17.941357+00:002026-04-30T08:49:17.941357+00:002026-04-27psi_v4_20260329
2026-04-290.3602026-04-29T08:49:16.715849+00:002026-04-29T08:49:16.715849+00:002026-04-27psi_v4_20260329
2026-04-280.3602026-04-28T08:52:43.552973+00:002026-04-28T08:52:43.552973+00:002026-04-27psi_v4_20260329
2026-04-270.3602026-04-27T08:54:17.905116+00:002026-04-27T08:54:17.905116+00:002026-04-21psi_v4_20260329
2026-04-260.3602026-04-26T08:29:09.135557+00:002026-04-26T08:29:09.135557+00:002026-04-21psi_v4_20260329
2026-04-250.3602026-04-25T08:22:52.948627+00:002026-04-25T08:22:52.948627+00:002026-04-21psi_v4_20260329
2026-04-240.3602026-04-24T03:52:25.321849+00:002026-04-24T03:52:25.321849+00:002026-04-21psi_v4_20260329
2026-04-230.3602026-04-24T03:52:25.321849+00:002026-04-24T03:52:25.321849+00:002026-04-21psi_v4_20260329
2026-04-220.3602026-04-22T08:38:02.684998+00:002026-04-22T08:38:02.684998+00:002026-04-21psi_v4_20260329
2026-04-210.3602026-04-21T14:54:31.622808+00:002026-04-21T14:54:31.622808+00:002026-04-14psi_v4_20260329
2026-04-200.3602026-04-20T02:03:34.070548+00:002026-04-20T02:03:34.070548+00:002026-04-14psi_v4_20260329
2026-04-190.3602026-04-19T08:22:52.949106+00:002026-04-19T08:22:52.949106+00:002026-04-14psi_v4_20260329
2026-04-180.3602026-04-18T08:17:05.354096+00:002026-04-18T08:17:05.354096+00:002026-04-14psi_v4_20260329
2026-04-170.3602026-04-17T08:36:53.845507+00:002026-04-17T08:36:53.845507+00:002026-04-14psi_v4_20260329
2026-04-160.3602026-04-16T08:37:04.276102+00:002026-04-16T08:37:04.276102+00:002026-04-14psi_v4_20260329
2026-04-150.3932026-04-15T08:36:47.919239+00:002026-04-15T08:36:47.919239+00:002026-04-07psi_v4_20260329
2026-04-140.3932026-04-14T08:37:00.686399+00:002026-04-14T08:37:00.686399+00:002026-04-07psi_v4_20260329
2026-04-130.3932026-04-13T08:45:09.702694+00:002026-04-13T08:45:09.702694+00:002026-04-07psi_v4_20260329
2026-04-120.3932026-04-12T08:19:49.157925+00:002026-04-12T08:19:49.157925+00:002026-04-07psi_v4_20260329
2026-04-110.3932026-04-11T08:15:26.956323+00:002026-04-11T08:15:26.956323+00:002026-04-07psi_v4_20260329
2026-04-100.3932026-04-10T08:34:35.028357+00:002026-04-10T08:34:35.028357+00:002026-04-07psi_v4_20260329
2026-04-090.3932026-04-09T08:34:43.045054+00:002026-04-09T08:34:43.045054+00:002026-04-07psi_v4_20260329
2026-04-080.3932026-04-08T08:28:25.293702+00:002026-04-08T08:28:25.293702+00:002026-04-07psi_v4_20260329
2026-04-070.6522026-04-07T08:29:26.224311+00:002026-04-07T08:29:26.224311+00:002026-03-31psi_v4_20260329
2026-04-060.6522026-04-06T08:35:24.034884+00:002026-04-06T08:35:24.034884+00:002026-03-31psi_v4_20260329
2026-04-050.6522026-04-05T08:14:38.735985+00:002026-04-05T08:14:38.735985+00:002026-03-31psi_v4_20260329
2026-04-040.6522026-04-04T08:15:01.073472+00:002026-04-04T08:15:01.073472+00:002026-03-31psi_v4_20260329
2026-04-030.6522026-04-03T08:20:41.751952+00:002026-04-03T08:20:41.751952+00:002026-03-31psi_v4_20260329
2026-04-020.6522026-04-02T08:24:31.218508+00:002026-04-02T08:24:31.218508+00:002026-03-31psi_v4_20260329
2026-04-010.6522026-04-01T08:30:55.242048+00:002026-04-01T08:30:55.242048+00:002026-03-31psi_v4_20260329
2026-03-310.6522026-03-31T08:26:23.541499+00:002026-03-31T08:26:23.541499+00:002026-03-31psi_v4_20260329
2026-03-300.6522026-03-30T08:35:25.415939+00:002026-03-30T21:11:31.311257+00:002026-03-30psi_v4_20260329
2026-03-290.6462026-03-29T08:14:05.823431+00:002026-03-30T21:11:31.311257+00:002026-03-29psi_v4_20260328
2026-03-280.6462026-03-29T00:57:03.689127+00:002026-03-29T00:57:16.742489+00:002026-03-28psi_v4_20260328
2026-03-270.6462026-03-28T00:26:32.608559+00:002026-03-28T00:26:32.608559+00:002026-03-27psi_v4_20260328
2026-03-260.5052026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-26psi_v1_20260327
2026-03-250.5052026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-25psi_v1_20260327
2026-03-240.5052026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-24psi_v1_20260327
2026-03-230.4972026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-23psi_v1_20260327
2026-03-220.4972026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-22psi_v1_20260327
2026-03-210.4972026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-21psi_v1_20260327
2026-03-200.4972026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-20psi_v1_20260327
2026-03-190.4972026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-19psi_v1_20260327
2026-03-180.4972026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-18psi_v1_20260327
2026-03-170.4972026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-17psi_v1_20260327
2026-03-160.4972026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-16psi_v1_20260327
2026-03-150.4972026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-15psi_v1_20260327
2026-03-140.4972026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-14psi_v1_20260327
2026-03-130.4972026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-13psi_v1_20260327
2026-03-120.4972026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-12psi_v1_20260327
2026-03-110.4972026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-11psi_v1_20260327
2026-03-100.4972026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-10psi_v1_20260327
2026-03-090.4972026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-09psi_v1_20260327
2026-03-080.5052026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-08psi_v1_20260327
2026-03-070.5052026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-07psi_v1_20260327
2026-03-060.5052026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-06psi_v1_20260327
2026-03-050.5052026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-05psi_v1_20260327
2026-03-040.5052026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-04psi_v1_20260327
2026-03-030.5052026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-03psi_v1_20260327
2026-03-020.5052026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-02psi_v1_20260327
2026-03-010.5052026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-01psi_v1_20260327
2025-04-140.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002025-03-31psi_v1_20260327
2025-04-130.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002025-03-31psi_v1_20260327
2025-04-120.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002025-03-31psi_v1_20260327
2025-04-110.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002025-03-31psi_v1_20260327
2025-04-100.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002025-03-31psi_v1_20260327
2025-04-090.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002025-03-31psi_v1_20260327
2025-04-080.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002025-03-31psi_v1_20260327
2025-04-070.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002025-03-31psi_v1_20260327
2025-04-060.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002025-03-31psi_v1_20260327
2025-04-050.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002025-03-31psi_v1_20260327
2025-04-040.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002025-03-31psi_v1_20260327
2025-04-030.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002025-03-31psi_v1_20260327
2025-04-020.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002025-03-31psi_v1_20260327
2025-04-010.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002025-03-31psi_v1_20260327
2025-03-310.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002025-03-31psi_v1_20260327
2025-03-300.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002025-03-30psi_v1_20260327
2025-03-290.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002025-03-29psi_v1_20260327
2025-03-280.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002025-03-28psi_v1_20260327
2025-03-270.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002025-03-27psi_v1_20260327
2025-03-260.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002025-03-26psi_v1_20260327
2025-03-250.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002025-03-25psi_v1_20260327
2025-03-240.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002025-03-24psi_v1_20260327
2025-03-230.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002025-03-23psi_v1_20260327
2025-03-220.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002025-03-22psi_v1_20260327
2025-03-210.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002025-03-21psi_v1_20260327
2025-03-200.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002025-03-20psi_v1_20260327
2025-03-190.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002025-03-19psi_v1_20260327
2025-03-180.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002025-03-18psi_v1_20260327
2025-03-170.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002025-03-17psi_v1_20260327
2025-03-160.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002025-03-16psi_v1_20260327
2025-03-150.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002025-03-15psi_v1_20260327
2025-03-140.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002025-03-14psi_v1_20260327
2025-03-130.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002025-03-13psi_v1_20260327
2025-03-120.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002025-03-12psi_v1_20260327
2025-03-110.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002025-03-11psi_v1_20260327
2025-03-100.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002025-03-10psi_v1_20260327
2025-03-090.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002025-03-09psi_v1_20260327
2025-03-080.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002025-03-08psi_v1_20260327
2025-03-070.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002025-03-07psi_v1_20260327
2025-03-060.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002025-03-06psi_v1_20260327
2025-03-050.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002025-03-05psi_v1_20260327
2025-03-040.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002025-03-04psi_v1_20260327
2025-03-030.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002025-03-03psi_v1_20260327
2025-03-020.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002025-03-02psi_v1_20260327
2025-03-010.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002025-03-01psi_v1_20260327
2024-04-140.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002024-03-31psi_v1_20260327
2024-04-130.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002024-03-31psi_v1_20260327
2024-04-120.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002024-03-31psi_v1_20260327
2024-04-110.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002024-03-31psi_v1_20260327
2024-04-100.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002024-03-31psi_v1_20260327
2024-04-090.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002024-03-31psi_v1_20260327
2024-04-080.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002024-03-31psi_v1_20260327
2024-04-070.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002024-03-31psi_v1_20260327
2024-04-060.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002024-03-31psi_v1_20260327
2024-04-050.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002024-03-31psi_v1_20260327
2024-04-040.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002024-03-31psi_v1_20260327
2024-04-030.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002024-03-31psi_v1_20260327
2024-04-020.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002024-03-31psi_v1_20260327
2024-04-010.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002024-03-31psi_v1_20260327
2024-03-310.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002024-03-31psi_v1_20260327
2024-03-300.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002024-03-30psi_v1_20260327
2024-03-290.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002024-03-29psi_v1_20260327
2024-03-280.5052026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002024-03-28psi_v1_20260327
2024-03-270.5052026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002024-03-27psi_v1_20260327
2024-03-260.5052026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002024-03-26psi_v1_20260327
2024-03-250.5052026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002024-03-25psi_v1_20260327
2024-03-240.5052026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002024-03-24psi_v1_20260327
2024-03-230.5052026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002024-03-23psi_v1_20260327
2024-03-220.5052026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002024-03-22psi_v1_20260327
2024-03-210.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002024-03-21psi_v1_20260327
2024-03-200.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002024-03-20psi_v1_20260327
2024-03-190.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002024-03-19psi_v1_20260327
2024-03-180.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002024-03-18psi_v1_20260327
2024-03-170.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002024-03-17psi_v1_20260327
2024-03-160.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002024-03-16psi_v1_20260327
2024-03-150.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002024-03-15psi_v1_20260327
2024-03-140.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002024-03-14psi_v1_20260327
2024-03-130.5052026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002024-03-13psi_v1_20260327
2024-03-120.5052026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002024-03-12psi_v1_20260327
2024-03-110.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002024-03-11psi_v1_20260327
2024-03-100.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002024-03-10psi_v1_20260327
2024-03-090.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002024-03-09psi_v1_20260327
2024-03-080.4982026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002024-03-08psi_v1_20260327
2024-03-070.4972026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002024-03-07psi_v1_20260327
2024-03-060.4972026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002024-03-06psi_v1_20260327
2024-03-050.4972026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002024-03-05psi_v1_20260327
2024-03-040.4972026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002024-03-04psi_v1_20260327
2024-03-030.4972026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002024-03-03psi_v1_20260327
2024-03-020.4972026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002024-03-02psi_v1_20260327
2024-03-010.4972026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002026-03-27T15:27:28.643283+00:002024-03-01psi_v1_20260327

Upstream

Zambezi flows into Kariba

ObservedZRA river flows
  • Victoria Falls328 m³/s
  • Chavuma (upper Zambezi)101 m³/s

Daily flow in cubic metres per second as published by ZRA. Upstream flows reach Kariba with a lag; they are shown as context, not as a forecast of storage. Readings exist for 222 of the 577 days in this span (38%); breaks are days with no published reading.

Macro context

Currency and copper

ObservedBoZ · LME

ZMW per USD (BoZ mid)

20.0023 ZMW

30 days
+2.1%
1 year
−11.9%
As of
16 Oct 2026

LME copper settlement

14,613 USD/t

30 days
+2.4%
1 year
+33.7%
As of
16 Oct 2026

FX pressure signal: Stable. Context rails only: neither series is a PSI input, and the macro model stays gated until it beats baseline.

Operating system

Data rails and schedule

6 current1 degraded1 unavailable

System status Health snapshot

  • Basin rainfallPhysical · CHIRPS (UCSB)Currentlatest 2026-10-108 days behind
  • Kariba hydrologyPhysical · Zambezi River AuthorityCurrentlatest 2026-10-144 days behind
  • Load-management evidenceEvidence · ZESCO notices via news RSSEvidence gaplatest 2026-09-2127 days behind
  • Copper priceMarket · London Metal ExchangeCurrentlatest 2026-10-162 days behind
  • ZMW/USDMarket · Bank of ZambiaCurrentlatest 2026-10-16up to date
  • Macro featuresModel · Derived dailyCurrentlatest 2026-10-171 day behind
  • PSI publicationModel · Governed inferenceCurrentlatest 2026-10-18up to date
  • Sovereign indicatorsStructural · Manual vintagesDegradedlatest 2026-03-29203 days behind

Bar length is the age of each rail's latest value on a log scale; tick marks sit at one day, one week, one month and one year. Status is the pipeline's own classification against each rail's publication contract, so a weekly source can be days old and still current.

  • Source ingestZRA, CHIRPS, BoZ, LME and evidence railsnext in daily at 06:00 UTC
  • PSI inferenceGoverned inference, staleness gate, publicationnext in daily at 08:00 UTC
  • WatchdogPublication freshness and rail-health alertingnext in daily at 10:30 UTC

Data adequacy

Coverage snapshot for the latest published training run.

Aligned rows65
Overlap dates65
Missingness (mean / max)5% / 22%
Quality gatesMet
Under-threshold override—
What to know before using this signal
  • Daily severity — Each day is represented by one resolved severity state, not a full hour-by-hour outage schedule.
  • Current scope — This page is strongest as a power-stress monitor. Macro transmission signals become decision-grade only when the macro layer is published as live.
  • Coverage matters — Confidence depends on how much reviewed label history overlaps with feature history in the published training window.

Use it for: a present-state reading of Kariba hydrology stress, not a grid forecast or prediction. Update rhythm: source ingest runs daily where connected; the PSI refreshes when a governed inference run is published. Scope today: Stage 1 PSI monitoring is live and publishing; macro data rails are live for context, while the macro model remains gated until it beats baseline. Full methodology · Energy Stress Engine path

Evidence mix

Historical severity distribution

Distribution of reviewed historical evidence labels in the current archive (84 rows, 0 awaiting review). This is training/review context, not forecast performance.

Class 0 • restored / stable supply8 days10%
Class 1 • scheduled partial cuts29 days35%
Class 2 • heavy unscheduled cuts39 days46%
Class 3 • crisis-level outages8 days9%

Latest updates

System activity

Recent pipeline and model events surfaced for transparency.

ZRA Hydrology14 Oct 2026 (time unavailable)

Kariba hydrology refreshed

Latest ZRA observation is 36.68% usable storage and inside the rail contract.

BoZ FX16 Oct 2026 (time unavailable)

ZMW/USD observation updated

Mid rate is 20.0023 versus 19.9669 previously.

Institutional collaboration

NISIR and CopperCloud sign Letter of Intent

CopperCloud and Zambia's National Institute for Scientific and Industrial Research have signed a Letter of Intent and NDA. The parties intend to define a bounded first pilot, with scientific review of the developing Zambia Energy Stress Engine proposed as the initial focus. Scientific validation has not yet been completed.

Read the joint announcement